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Rove: McCain now leads in electoral votes

Karl Rove says Republican John McCain now leads Democrat Barack Obama in electoral votes for the first time since early June. It’s a one-vote edge — 227-226 — with 85 still in the toss-up column, according to Rove.

The former longtime Bush adviser comes upon his numbers by calculating “the average of all public telephone polls taken within 14 days of the most recent poll available in each state.”

McCain took the lead as a result of polls that put Florida’s 27 electoral votes in his column, according to Rove’s math. He also noted that McCain is within striking distance of moving Minnesota (10 electoral votes) and Washington (11 EVs) out of Obama’s column and into the toss-up category.

A Roverian caveat: “McCain’s lead may be a result of his convention bounce or it may be a sign of real progress — only time will tell.”

See Rove’s map here

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